Update WPX.V

Refer to the chart in the Gallery...  heavy short in effect as of last report and it shows:

Symbol

Report Date

Volume

Change

% of Float

WPX - V    2011-02-15    2,192,785        1,165,400                  1.64

WPX - V    2011-01-31    1,027,385          -702,015

WPX - V    2011-01-15    1,729,400           281,100

For commentary.... In the side bar check out the ADX Trader Gallery and go to the WPX chart link... the effect of the short is visible.

GLTA Lostoutwest

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Update FCO.TO

This position is a volatile position to undertake, however the bounce can be dramatic at times... or there can be no bounce at all.... reaching the 10 and 20 day averages should be doable... getting to the top of the bollinger is another story... and if the price does this... It will most likely... 98% of the time retrace (this is a downtrend.... it has to pass through a range.... and that is the strategy associated with a downtrend or a ranging price for a high percentage average to be present for accuracy to prevail)...

As the price moves to the support where it bounced... you must see the lower bollinger rising to intercept the price... this is a signal that volatility is decreasing.... Low volume signifies a bottom in  a lot of cases if is relative to a recent high, and a downtrend is identifiable... We are looking for lower bollinger touch  for a rising low....... a rising low on a  lower bollinger touch to signify a bottom...

If the lower bollinger does not rise ... be extremely cautious for the price to break to a new low... try for break even,, but make a move for safety and wait for the next signal... it may take another try to land the bottom.. but it is worth the effort and a couple of razor cuts.

This upper bollinger touch  will likely take place over a period of time say about a business week or maybe more...  I must point out that this a down trend and upper bollinger touches are sell signals... don't ignore it.

If the broad market was in a down trend... (which it is not at this point) this type of trade would be doubly dangerous and a tight stop would even be more important... Still this type of trade dictates it be watched extremely close... On the flip side if we have landed the bottom we can look forward to a solid gain over time...  very easy to walk away with a profit if the bottom comes in...

I should point out.. I have considered some charting visual conditions that are usually present in most bounces... they have been described in the previous posts...

GLTA Lostoutwest


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Update TKO.TO

TKO.TO is pushing the top line of resistance on an Ascending continuation Triangle formation... it is not predictive but extremely bullish...  


GLTA Lostoutwest


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Update URC.V

Some Observations on Level II suggest that there is some liquidity in the area of .30 cents... It doesn't seem to be overwhelming... as an entry point of low risk considering the pricing history... it most certainly could be said that it is much better than buying at 40cents...

I looked over the chart and the price is in close proximity to a lower bollinger touch on a rising trend ... the best kind of touch... ..27 to 28 cents...... It was a reaction back fill that got a bit out of hand.... but it was a couple of tough days across the board for Uranium... and my level II confirmed as much in the Uranium watch... there was a bit of an iceberg set up at .30 cents for a day. Friday played out to form as the rebound day... which is unnatural... I have said before it is like turning the spigot (Institutional traders connected over some type of Star Chamber network over the Internet)  off so the distribution can be set up to continue the following week... I ended up going to cash on a couple of strong movers because they likely would fall back on back fill and moved on some really oversold issues that downside risk was small, and that were at strategic points of entry...

Support has moved in at .28 cents... I have been waiting for the color of the support to show itself and by that I mean....... is it support?............ or bear bait that is is going to draw down a more dedicated bearish response... so far it appears to be legitimate support............ so as an entry point of low risk, it is qualifying on quite a few counts...

In particular the special focus study in the side bar to the right has two indicators at the bottom of the chart OBV and Accum/Dist which are very bullish looking and rising... If you take it upon yourself and back test studies with these two indicators... you will come away with the same resolve as I have... this pair in the position they are presenting is consistent with strong accumulation when they are working in tandem...

Taking a position at this point will have much less risk associated with it... It is my opinion that if the trend were to maintain the reverse at this point it would offer an exit at break even over the next week or days... and if it showed resolve to drop below .27 cents I would expect it to come back to .28 or .29 cents for a minimal loss if you don't panic... however this is the worst... on the flip side the chart says to take a position if you like this stock and odds according to the twin indicators I mentioned suggest (they are forecast indicators) the trend will continue to the upside after this consolidation is over.

I would like to point out that it is not necessary for OBV and Accum/Dist to rise in tandem for an uptrend to establish and make solid up moves... OBV represents retail demand (IMOP) and as long as retail demand overpowers..... the indicator.... Accum/Dist which represents institutional direction of selling or buying... can be declining... If the institutions are selling into strength the direction will be down... if they are accumulating with the direction of the retail crowd... it will be rising...

OBV and Accum/Dist measure volume... the main difference is that OBV measures the effect of volume as a bullish or bearish measure over a daily cumulative approach where as Accum/Dist uses the same calculations for the most part.... but measures of a different time period that reflects the volume in a different pattern... If they are both going down... I will be surprised to see any kind of uptrend in progress.

GLTA Lostoutwest


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Update FCO.TO

I filled at 1.63 ... If you're going to take a chance... measure your risk... and if there is an average of 98% probability... either your in or not... My buy was small... just a couple 1000

In adddition there were two gap downs, which is a signal in itself that capitulation is in the wind... it is not often you will get two gap downs in a row....... and not bounce.............. even without a bollinger peircing.

I would prefer a ranging peircing but I like FCO.TO and as the market is overbought.... (still bullish though)  FCO is not overbought... but extremely oversold such that RSI  (under 30) is indicating an extreme bottom ............ it seemed that technically with a tight mental stop...  it was time to make a first attempt at catching the bounce...

It is just pure luck PG mentioned it...  and the timing as far as charting was concerned was in the area... (PG and I don`t agree too often when it comes to charting)... of extremely oversold... in the event that it fails... it is not like I paid 2.50 and am holding... I`ll be posting a chart soon... come back to this post...

In this chart I have used Accelleration bands which produce results much like a bollinger for lower band peircings... add in the ringed bottom ... a series of the 3 latest lows where the middle tick is the lowest...
factor in we are at a support level... color in an RSI reading under 30 and we have a pretty strong bottom signal from various counts. No gauantees though.. keep a tight mental stop and don't follow the price below the middle low of the ringed low... ( the first three ticks under the lower band where the low of the middle tick is our  mental stop)...

GLTA Lostoutwest


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Aggressively Trading FCO.TO

I'm making a bold assumption... if todays open is above yesterdays low... and over the course of the day it appears that the close will stay above todays open as a very minimum requirement... before the end of the day at the lowest possible point... remember the "up your candles average" on the right side bar suggests putting in a bid just below the open to catch the highly probable lower tail..

... if you get hit today, would be taking a very agressive position... Yesterdays low would be your benchmark mental stop.... you would abandon the trade if you start to go below that point.


GLTA Lostoutwest


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Bottom picking

We have had such strong market conditions that bottom picking has not been an exercise that could be practiced too often... JAG.TO is one we are watching... and now FCO.TO...

Jag.to is testing 5.10 (even though it hasn't -pierced the lower bollinger) and if Fco.to bounces (we have a 98% bounce condition)  it will run the same people sentiment pattern that Jag is doing... FCO.to may be a more active bounce...

That sentiment pattern is... that the price will bounce off a particular unknown spot (the bollinger and price will part ways)... price breaking away to the right... possibly rise to the 10... 20 period average or even to the upper bolllinger line.... it will stall and likely retrace back down to test the level where it bounced in the first place... if this was the bottom........ this will also be the lower bollinger which has changed direction...

It has been said that low volume often signifies a bottom and low volume will be signified by the lower bollinger band rounding out some type of bottom itself and the lower bollinger will move to the right and  swing up coming to meet the dropping price.... for a double bottom with the lower bollinger touch being the actual bottom most likely on a higher low.  The original bounce position is critical, and this spot must not be breached... if the bollinger stays printed down... expect the price to follow until the bollinger shows some signs of rounding up ...(losing volitility).

It is my intent to follow these two stocks  real time and catch the move after which they will be frozen to a time period and put into the bottom picking library.
One of the strongest conditions that affect the reversal pattern long term would be the broad market and what it is doing at the time of the individual stock reversal... if the broad market is strong then the stock reversal could be very strong itself...........  if the broad market is up, but choppy and weak... the stock reversal may well exhibit characteristics of the broad market...

Charts to follow.

GLTA Lostoutwest


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FCO.TO

Grandich has suggested this stock is way oversold... a quick check says I agree and the price is below book value of 1.85... I'm showing 36 million shares out and some obvious concern over conditions of a financing... I have no idea about options or warrants outstanding... I suggest any that are/were out there have been cashed in to bail before they lost any more value..   (a hunch ... I have no proof...)...

I'm seeing more and more corrections, but this one is out of control... with two lower bollinger piercings it may do a quick bounce but will most likely come back to test support at the bounce... this one is a worthy bottom pick if we can land it...

What we are looking for is a bounce tomorrow that tucks itself in the area of the tail and closes above todays close by 1/2 way ... on Monday the open is above Thursday's close.. and closes over Friday's close preferably... . it may bounce to to the 10 or 20 day average where it should stall and come back to the lower bollinger which should be rising to meet it which signifies a double bounce on decreasing volume.... Which signifies a bottom... with a lower bollinger touch that recovers and does not move below the first bounce...

If we make a new low then we do the routine until we get the bounce... bailing on any move to break support using a mental stop you are comfortable with... my own at this point would be todays lower tail... at 1.40.

That's kind of textbook and could vary significantly intraday


GLTA Lostoutwest


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From Grandich's board

Bernake

GLTA Lostoutwest


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INM.V

Where did that come from...     super silver finds....

INM.V

GLTA Lostoutwest


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You have to

Check out the public portfolio.... today was a heavy distribution day and the watch is heavy in red...

NOTE: the visible distribution will only be seen today Feb 24th 2011 as the watch is dynamic and the effect changes daily...

Stockhouse Portfolio

 It's a red flag....GLTA Lostoutwest

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URC.V

That was quite a (dump) drop......... and it closed near the low ( that usually signifies a down day following)....... over the next couple of days I'm looking for a lower bollinger pierce which would hit as low as .26 with a close back above the bollinger... that would be the ideal situation for a low risk entry..... even if it was crashing it should bounce at odds of 98% ... I'll be watching real close... and would take a position if the .26 cent mark is hit... and level II is supportive with no more big dumps from the side.. I would however be alert for heavy resistance at .32 if there was a bounce and would consider taking a position higher than .26 if the thing smooths out by Monday open putting in a tail just above the lower bollinger.

I really find the technicals support a bounce potential.


GLTA Lostoutwest


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I think I saw Casper...!

I just got spooked.... I was going for some URC.V at .32 cents... feeling a little unsure as the price had dropped too far... so I pulled my bid for a stinker to catch a knife at .29.... there was lots between.. I don't recall exactly how much, but I would have to say about 200,000 plus possibly closer to 300,000... and I had no hope in my mind of catching anything... but I did expect it to drop a bit more.. and from there I would try and catch the knife as it bounced... all of a sudden out of the blue... I was about 5000 shares from getting hit at .29 1/2 hour later......... I quickly cancelled the order... I don't move on something like that till after the dust clears...  ....... big dumps like that take the wind out of the sails... I saw others closing out the bids as well... the fact that there was nothing to sell to was the only reason it didn't go further...  Be cautious on going for a bounce... tomorrow is Friday and the markets have been real moody these last few days...

From there I went to a portfolio I was populating with picks that were strong... the portfolio is a Market Club Tool I'm testing out and it gives analysis of the stocks listed... I shan't go into details..... but the scores across the board had all lost points... this led me to a quick tiptoe through a large list of potentials I keep that house many more picks.... and I was surprised to see a flurry of trend breaks too numerous to list... that weren't there 2 days ago...

From there I  set the watches to show the gainers and scanned all my level II watches and noticed very heavy volume accross the board with a heavy show of neutral and downers... albiet a couple of bulls in there... XAG being one them... possibly three or 4 decent gainers at the most...  we are talking out of over over 300 watches... the day was kind of neutral in results but the volume was heavy...
Stay alert.... if the market spooks it'll take most everything with it.. granted there may be a few things that can buck the trend.... but the average won't be anything near what I would call good....

As for me I'm taking a neutral position... for the weekend .... all in cash ... If I'm wrong at least I'll get a good sleep... and next week I'll creep back if things stiffen up...  think long if your more confident...

I'm not saying the market will crash in the next few days ...but for me I don't have a problem in stepping in and out... Use your best judgement.

The only watch showing some green was the Junior golds under .50 cents and some silver...

GLTA Lostoutwest


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Xag.v got away

I was quick enough to catch  a bit myself and feel pretty comfortable @.46 and if it comes back... the pop should be flushed pretty clean  about      .46 at the lowest to about .49... for a lower risk entry.

Tomorrow will tell the tail.... good call bad call.


GLTA Lostoutwest


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Start accumulating on dips XAG.V

Technical analysis shows it is likely good for a breakout very soon... try not to chase... but overall it has very strong silver allure  considering the resource size and recent buyout call by Midas Letter.

GLTA Lostoutwest


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Buy LME.V

I left the price out because I wanted to make sure to be able to explain how I see the buy should take place, and under what conditions.

This is something that you should not undertake unless you are a stronger hand.... with patience....  and  should be able to take a loss... or be prepared to to tie up a small investment on a lottery approach...

I could be holding this for a couple of years so long as they drill baby drill... attempt to add to their project package... and can finance sufficiently to carry out their drill program projects in a growing gold price atmosphere... considering the newly placed spread in "Report on Mining" I can assume a gorilla style assumption... the low float (I consider a float under 100K for a penny stock low) is also an alert that this could a nice little low downside risk swinger if I had 100 k average in at .07 cents or less and this could go on for quite some time to satisfy my trading fetish. My experience is that out of the penny world comes great profit if the pipeline keeps filling.. I have no idea if things will ever get past 1 million ounces but at todays price 500K is getting to be worth a pretty penny...
The purpose would be to swing a portion that could average the cost down to the low side and with a bit of luck a spike should come my way; hold a core position and work things until it was a freebie... and then let her ride...

This one has recently taken a 2 page spot spread in Report on Mining.. The write up is pretty good:  it is a safe jurisdiction for 100% owned existing projects.... with some interesting drill results with a price as of this post .09 cents on the ask... Level II

The Major Monthly trend is up and has been since June of 2009 showing a weekly sell signal as of Nov 8 2010... at .11 cents... since then it has been consolidating a medium term trend back in the direction of .06 and .05 cents...

A lot has happened since 2009 and drill results and projects are comparable now to issues that are selling for up to 4 times as much.

My own strategy relies on being able to accumulate most of the 100 k shares at a price in the range of .06 to .07 so for my part I'm hoping that the consolidation will continue and get me some in that price range... considering the gold market potential... I grabbed 10,000 @ .09 just in case ... however I believe I can get some in the .07 to .08 cent area..

Support should hold at .06 to .065 long term.

Simply put we need to get above .11 to .15 cents for spike material short term... and medium to long term an accumulated position at .08 and better (better means lower) is likely to see a double within a year... JMOP.

GLTA Lostoutwest

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150 Cloud Computing companies

The other day I received a promotional E-mail in my Microsoft Office Outlook data base.... it is one of many... You never know what you may find so I subscribe to anything that sounds interesting...... as of this post I would have to go back and search for the source to mention the name... which I may do later today.... but the main drift of the E-mail was to promote the good sense of investing in Cloud Computing companies as a wave of the future............ comparing them to making an investment in early Microsoft... that's all I really need to know for now, so as I took breaks from other research this morining... I re-visited the link and I searched different catch phrases (of which the results) that I had added as a favorite to the IE favorites bar... I came up with a page on google... that lead to this link

The Top 150 Players in Cloud Computing the point of which was to see if I could find a publicly traded company or companies other than the few biggies already known...

One google page selections Google leads for research

A Seeking Alpaha article Seeking Alpha

On this page link found at the link above... there is a stock database download alphabetically listed "Cloud computer stocks" Cloud computer stocks



GLTA Lostoutwest

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