Current Trade

Thursday, December 25, 2014

Flow-Through Share Offerings Explained

Flow-Through Share Offerings Explained:

 A great thanks to Canadian SmallCaps for this enlightening  article

Canadian Small Caps FEB 27/2005 Canadian Small Caps

Canadian Small Caps

September through December is typically the most active period for Canadian oil and gas producers and mining companies to turn to flow-through share offerings in order to raise capital. Flow-through offerings can provide benefits for both companies and investors. In this article I will give a brief overview of flow-through offerings along with some of the advantages associated in participating.

Flow-through offerings are generally available only to those who invest in the oil and gas or mining industries. The Canadian Income Tax Act permits participants in this form of financing to share in the tax deduction for certain exploration and development expenses incurred by the issuing corporation. Thus, not only is the investor able to purchase a block of company paper, but he/she can utilize the tax deduction to offset other sources of income and pay less income tax. The investor can also benefit from the fact that the entire deduction can usually be claimed in the year of investment rather than in the subsequent year when the company actually spends the capital. The one downfall is that the shares generally have to be held for a 4 period (except short-form flow-through offerings). There is also generally a minimum investment level and sophistication level which participants have to comply with.

Flow-through shares significantly reduce the risk of investing in resource stocks by allowing investors to recover a substantial portion of their original investment through income tax savings. For instance, an individual in a 50% tax bracket who invests $20,000 in a flow-through offering is really only risking $10,000 since he receives $10,000 in tax deductions. This creates extra incentive for investors to purchase Canadian resource companies benefiting both the company raising the capital and the investor. Of course, investors should ultimately be seeking for flow-though offerings in solid, fundamentally undervalued resource companies with significant upside rather than just for tax-savings but the tax savings in and of themselves can be quite enticing.

One must keep in mind that for income tax purposes, the cost of a 100% flow-through share is always nil. The full proceeds upon disposition of the shares are subject to income tax as a capital gain which is currently taxed at 50%. This again can benefit investors as tax deductions associated with the flow-through shares are used to offset income that is fully taxable, while only 50% of the subsequent capital gain is actually taxable.

Example 1: Mr. Deduct is tired of paying an extraordinary amount of tax as he makes $140,000 per year and is in a 50% tax bracket. In order to reduce his taxable income, Mr. Deduct purchased 100,000 flow-through shares in company ABC at $0.40 per share. This will reduce his taxable income to $100,000 and will save him $20,000 in tax. One year later Mr. Deduct decides to sell his ABC shares at $0.50 per share. His capital gain will therefore be (100,000 shares at $0.50 = $50,000) Note that the full proceeds of the sale are recognized as a capital gain instead of just the capital appreciation since the $40,000 deduction was already claimed in the year of purchase. Mr. Deduct will therefore pay tax on 50% of the capital gain or $25,000. As he is in a 50% tax bracket his tax bill will be $12,500. Mr. Deduct therefore received $50,000 from the sale of his shares, minus the original investment of $40,000, minus the tax owed of $12,500, plus the tax saving of $20,000. He ends up making $17,500.

Example 2: Using the above example, let's say that Mr. Deduct ended up selling his shares at $0.40 (the same price he paid for them). In this case he would still have $20,000 in tax savings but his capital taxable gain would be 50% of $40,000 or $20,000. In a 50% tax bracket this would equate to tax of $10,000. Mr. Deduct would therefore receive $40,000 from the sale of his shares, minus the original investment of $40,000, minus the tax owed of $10,000, plus the tax saving of $20,000. He ends up making $10,000 even though he sold the shares for the same price he paid for them. In fact the shares would have to be sold at below $0.27 before Mr. Deduct would actually lose money.
Investors will have to determine what tax bracket they are in to determine the level of tax savings available to them by participating in flow-through share offerings. As a general rule, the following list represents the at-risk capital for investors in different tax brackets (or in other words investors can sell at the following discount to purchase price before actually losing any capital with taking tax savings into account):
50% tax bracket - 66% of original investment
40% tax bracket - 75% of original investment
30% tax bracket - 81% of original investment
20% tax bracket - 89% of original investment

Please note that the above examples are for Canadian investors only and do not take into account provisions such as alternate minimum tax which may affect some investors. As such, investors should contact a professional financial planner or accountant before participating in flow-through share offering



Dave GLTA

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Wednesday, December 10, 2014

NMX.V

Both in a daily and weekly.... NMX looks solidly in an uptrend...

In the daily we have three successive higher lows,,,, which suggests to me for what that is worth ..... the price should mellow out and hold between 15 and 21 cents through to the Santa Rally and possibly breakout there.... Then in the new year for sure we should see some direction hopefully slowly up with a nice low to medium beta would be good.... just my wishful thinking

Dave GLTA

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Sunday, December 7, 2014

NMX.V going up

From a technical expression as in charting... things look like they are heating up and any further expectation of a back fill to 13 to 15 cents is likely put on hold.... volume has started to come in from the sides not even bothering to attempt a bid... this used to be a very strong visual that the train is leaving the station... if it holds as much innuendo in today's market then indeed the price is set to breakout...  

Dave GLTA

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Tuesday, December 2, 2014

BNK.TO and NMX musings

Just a short observation.... BNK went for a continuation and if u have been following the speculation put out by the media... a communique from non other than the Motley was a shot at bringing 30 dollar a barrel oil speculators panic into the game and the thought was it will be the bottom and a bounce sooner than we think.... On other fronts or sources...  Opec refused the option of cutting production to stabilize the price and that was likely to decimate competing oil producing countries.... the states are enjoying a rise in oil product due to fracking so less oil dependency is a bonus.... pardon the spelling if it's wrong..... and there is a troupe of really good buys getting hammered... tax selling.... Santa rally.... January effect... all coming into play..... 2015 could be a very good year for buying energy stocks of quality at bargain prices,,,, and energy dependent industries that will benefit from low oil prices should run.

Sadly for the moment one of my favorite lithium stocks NMX...v is taking a lot of pressure from being one of the energy stock dependents as high energy prices fuels lithium... good thing the time may be good for a double bottom  which will be in the 11 to 13 cent range and long hold at super bargain price all things considered.. lots of reasonable speculation suggesting technical analysis may be used very effectively for buying signals in a weekly in the proper trend up and to be ready.....

Dave GLTA

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Wednesday, November 26, 2014

BNK.TO workup

This workup is to put a watch.....

This appears to be the 3rd touch down on support.... and it appears there is no way to predict the course of price direction... or is there ?

Check the slope of the white average in the first stochastic variation which has been tuned to the rhythm of  BNK..... it is up... the gold stochastic is rolling over.... and when it goes down and reverses..... this a very simple visual of a bounce.... as the stochastic is coming down into a rising average..... support will show itself when the stochastic reverses. This is now either a double bottom or a continuation... follow the yellow stochastic and predict a positive trade with a very tight mental stop and go with it if the average stays up and sell when it rolls over.... 

Tax selling should muffle the move but the proof will be in the results... The other indicator is not valid except that the trend is down....as per the MACD... which is rising and the Williams is oversold suggesting a potential case for support....



Dave GLTA

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NMX.V musing

Anybody with Level II can see all these shares on the ask blocking an up move.

That being said... what could be the motivation...? It breaks down in my head as a choice of three reasons...

Tax selling... definitely a possibility as part of the whole... up until about Dec 22

Weak hands....  obviously some weak hands must be present... everybody's interpretation of the timing will be variable

Or a an institutional function where the over subscription has caused the need to purchase in the open market where that same will to purchase at lower prices instigates some manipulation to make the best of it happen...

All things considered.... fundamentally compared to other companies there is a solid basis for thinking that the present share price is lagging.

Looking at a chart suggests the potential for this present state to wash out sometime going forward... which leaves the obvious conclusion that any pullback down to say .13 to .15 cents would be a level of support...











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Sunday, November 23, 2014

NMX.V update

This chart is just a picture.... and in no way indicates the final direction the price will go.... however, if you are looking for a lagging price swimming in positive volume buying it sure qualifies.

The elements of the chart are as follows:

This chart is a weekly and as so portrays a larger view of the trend or potential trend and captures the progress of some daily indicators of general accepted use.

The price is overlaid with an array of moving averages that are common with a daily chart .... 13 and a ....40 {the 13 and 40 smooth out into a  representation of a 20 day average}  now hovering over the....50 and... towards the 200 can be seen.... is the price wedging into an apex on a weekly basis... as well On Balance Volume {OBV} can be seen stepping up in the big picture.

Stochastic is at a low with volume buying bars overshadowing any selling going on...

The final indicator is a Balance of Power overlaid with a 12 26 9 MACD , which has moved above the 0 {trigger} line indicating an upward trend giving support to the Balance of Power...

Recent activity on Level II further supports selling has exhausted... sure looks good!




The same chart in a daily is very provocative.... with support along the rising 200 day average...



In a rising trend the accepted practice is to buy the dip for a low risk entry.... having said that.... this dip opportunity is leaving the station.... the only wild cards would be some expected volatility up to December 22nd due to tax selling and the recent financing where institutional buyers of the financing are selling out older warrants or holdings to participate in a longer forward strike date....






Dave GLTA

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Monday, November 10, 2014

Natcore.... NXT.V

NXT.V is in a bottoming pattern.... some good news of late.... near production for two products...been as high as 1.55..... however, it's still under a lot of selling pressure... look for a big short dip and cover


Dave GLTA

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Do an NMX.V chart

use the chart below to create a chart of NMX.V in a weekly setting




That is a beautiful simple bullish chart that was created.... for entertainment only

Dave GLTA

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Sunday, April 13, 2014

Gix.TO gorilla charted




When it comes to looking at charts... relative to a recent high or trend, in this case, makes this price in position to make a move... what the chart is indicating is that it is consolidating, and has yet to move in what appears to be in the likely direction of up.... not based on fundamental analysis, but based on sentiment positioned at a point of diminished selling, and for no other reason.... continued buying pressure. Recent news suggests positive development which is a bit of upward motivation...

It hasn't moved yet... and with a little luck...those in position will will have the chance to collect big or lose little.

Here is a link to some interesting possibilities.... Chart a few of these.... http://www.smallcappower.com/investment_ideas/posts/investment-idea-of-the-day-8-4-2014



Dave GLTA

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Thursday, March 20, 2014

Buy the gold miners dip

This is the type of hype I'm hearing.... "Gold Dip" is what u should be buying.... paper or bullion.
GIX.TO is ready to move as are many..... an easy double from these price levels is a risk worth taking on.

Dave GLTA

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Tuesday, March 18, 2014

GIX Ready to pop

Gix is showing a trading pattern which is indicative of an upward move.... observation of Level II shows a tendency to trend sideways.... charting is in favor of an upward move.... gold is on the comeback and the raw power of this play is that others have moved first and rotation is building here... a speculative .08 cents to .10 cents looks to be an optimum buy ! I would expect at least 100% over a 3 day pop with a pullback and further highs within a month.... with the new highs over an extended period.hmmmmmmmmmmmm!

Chart GIX.TO in the chart machine below.... The set up is great looking...."uhm" with MACD showing a whole bunch of positive momo developing....!

Dave GLTA

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Friday, March 14, 2014

Some prospects

Some stocks I'm following which are probably not mainstream hyped or in good stead are:

PDN.TO
DML.TO
GXI.TO
SNM.V
PBG.TO
NXT.TO
TBE.TO
GIX.TO
GGA.TO
BNK.TO

However, these stocks are but a few of many good charts ,,, There is one in there that is technically coiled to double and pop in the process... I give it 2 weeks tops!!!!!!!!!!!!!
check them out... and on Monday I'm gonna load up on two of these, not sure which will be the 2nd, but check them out.....


Dave GLTA

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Sunday, March 9, 2014

AJX



This update applies to AJX... where actually the price has broken the short term trend line and is testing the 200 day average.... add a 200 day average in to be interactive and edit the color to yellow.

I have included 3 variations of MACD which surly must imply it is my most favorite indicator, however I imagine it will take a stretch, but to me this threesome indicates an entry point of low risk along the 200 day average,or as far down about 90 cents, which is a support (resistance turned support) level established back in Feb 2013. These low volumes mentioned tend to let support levels hold.... The one characteristic that is worth noting is that for MACD it must be above the trigger line or Zero (0)... Quite often this is an overlooked characteristic that must be intact to observe real up trends. In both upper MACD studies we can easily verify a broken trend short term, however this the third MACD is the one that has to hold as it can easily be seen to be ranging above 0..

An interesting thought strictly pertaining to sentiment trading is the fairly low volume which I have noticed often associates with long upward trends by virtue of less manipulation being observed along with having breached $1.00... which seems to leave behind the fickle penny traders... and as well one should consider that it is a non mining stock, and as such has a value that can be measured by it's achievement's which in this case are not too shabby... with a more stable beta (.55) which responds better to market conditions, thus making it more predictable as a charting study.... If support breaks this would be a most interesting bottom pick, however that remains to be seen... keep an eye on this one... it still looks in a med to long term trend!

Dave GLTA

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Saturday, March 8, 2014

NMX pops the 50 - Nove / 7 / 2014 update




This is very early in a chart and as such is what might be viewed as what hindsight looks like!

Try a Williams % R set to (edit) 140 for assessing trend.

 Dave GLTA

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NMX... Breakout

Put NMX into the breech and check out a move to the upside developing.....!

Notice the 1st..... MACD 12,26,9 pop was not confirmed by the 12,65,1... where this second breakout attempt looks to be much more promising....as the 12,65,1 suggests a much deeper participation of buyers than sellers at one of the most opportune market timings just after tax selling... not to mention some really good speculative fundamentals,

A point of interest is the reason the first MACD episode failed IMOP is it coincided with the financing at .10 cents and thus gives a very acceptable reason for the sudden dip and failure to hold the first pop.... it was just a bit too soon with the financing being lower than the price... of course the price went to the financing and the price as well had to work it's way through tax selling..... a good spot of luck as I loaded up. I hardly ever double down... but all things considered... it worked well this time and I'm in the green.



Dave GLTA

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Friday, January 31, 2014

NMX.V on watch



click on the picture to enlarge

The chart is neutral in the last few months relative to it's decline and ADX is indicating a very weak trend.... with a reading of 13 it is in bounce territory because of it's recent low and as such could be said to be ranging with Balance of power showing little or no commercial selling.... this is breakout timing with the direction of the breakout hindsight...

The downside considering the safety in location... Quebec... noticing the quality of the resources... shares out and recent financing... as well as insider buying front to back.... seems to be price setting up for an upward move... I wouldn't chase.... but a bid in the .10 cent area seems a potentially productive, holding over the next 12 months for a double such that at the very least this small cap quality is conservatively speculated to mirror past valuations of any similar stock to be in the .40 to .60 cent range in a better setting...

This link takes you to a video of Rick Rule.... This guy knows sentiment trading.... strong prospects at the right price make a good hold!

This link takes you to a recent commentary on lithium prospects for 2014 where this mention was near the end of the commentary which is just about the best place to be mentioned in this professional looking presentation..... some interesting information there on other potential prospects... read the whole thing.... here is the quote from the article ...
LM: Our base-case forecast is for an average of 5% demand growth per year until 2020.
TMR: What lithium companies do you cover with Speculative Buy ratings?
LM: We really like the to-be-formed RB Energy, meaning Canada Lithium, most of the revenues will still come from lithium.
We also like Nemaska Lithium Inc. (NMX). It has a good-sized, high-grade deposit in Québec. The company is working on its feasibility study and is looking to raise funds to build the first module commercial plant. Nemaska has an agreement with Phostech Lithium (private), which will take 100% of the production from its first plant. Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries Inc. (002466:Shenzhen), the leading Chinese lithium company, owns 16% of Nemaska shares.
Nemaska is targeting the hydroxide market, rather than the carbonated market that Canada Lithium is in. Lithium hydroxide sells at higher price than lithium carbonated. This story has great potential.
TMR: Do you have any parting thoughts on the industrial metals space?
Dave GLTA

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Friday, January 3, 2014

The big picture

is a multiple study look at the qualities of a trend... it starts with this basic interactive chart that depicts the trend of the market we are participating in and from there we observe different stocks of interest in that market.... fundamentals are important... but, they are 2ndary ... charting is a technique in interpreting selling and buying pressure in a stock that is trending positively in a solid fundamental market.This is Sentiment trading a trend. Stick the AJX ticker in this starter chart...




Moving on...

this is a multiple time study...... of AJX in this market..... it's pretty bully...........
  

mouse over and click on this JPG for a better look

:)

Dave GLTA

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